Explanation
Correct answer: B.
Choice B is correct. Let be the number of years after . It follows that represents the number of -year periods that will occur within an -year period. According to Moore's law, every years, the number of transistors included on microprocessors is estimated to double. Therefore, years after , the number of transistors will double times. Since the number of transistors included on a microprocessor was , or million, in , the estimated number of transistors, in millions, included years after can be modeled as . The year in which the number of transistors is estimated to be million is represented by the value of when . Dividing both sides of this equation by yields , which can be rewritten as . Since the exponential equation has equal bases on each side, it follows that the exponents must also be equal: . Multiplying both sides of the equation by yields . Therefore, according to Moore's law, years after , or in , the number of transistors included on microprocessors is estimated to reach million.
Alternate approach: According to Moore's law, years after (in ), the number of transistors included on a microprocessor is estimated to be , or , and years after (in ), the number of transistors included on microprocessors is estimated to be , or . Therefore, the year that Moore's law estimates the number of transistors on microprocessors to reach million is .
Desmos solution:
Note: The regression finds m=4 years after 1985, then add it to 1985 to get the calendar year.
Enter in Desmos:
Reviewed and rewritten by CookSAT
Why the other choices are wrong
Choice A
Choice A is incorrect. According to Moore's law, the number of transistors included on microprocessors is estimated to reach in , not million.
Choice C
Choice C is incorrect. According to Moore's law, the number of transistors included on microprocessors is estimated to reach million in , which exceeds the target of million.
Choice D
Choice D is incorrect. According to Moore's law, the number of transistors included on microprocessors is estimated to reach about million in , which far exceeds the target of million.