SAT Question fc46af57: Inference From Sample Statistics And Margin Of Error answer and explanation with Desmos solution

Math - Inference From Sample Statistics And Margin Of Error - Estimate Population Count Using Margin Of Error
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A bag containing beads of assorted colors is purchased from a craft store. To estimate the percent of red beads in the bag, a sample of beads is selected at random. The percent of red beads in the bag was estimated to be , with an associated margin of error of . If is the actual number of red beads in the bag, which of the following is most plausible?

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Difficulty:Medium